Wednesday, August 26, 2015

MLB FanDuel Thoughts and Tips for 8/27/15 Early morning GPP Tournaments

There's 5 games scheduled this morning and I love morning/afternoon GPP tourneys. The reason I like them so much is because I have found a lot of success playing these tourneys with 3 to 6 games.

There will be high ownership on a lot of hitters and pitchers unlike when there are 15 games scheduled.

What other pitcher are you going to take besides Bumgarner or Greinke? It seems too obvious but your pitcher decision is basically deciding which pitcher to select.

I tend to like to go with the pitcher playing at home.

If you want to be contrarian, Randy Wolf is at 4700.

I expect the Dodgers to beat the Reds, Angels to beat Detroit, Giants to beat the Cubs, Toronto to beat the Rangers, and the Orioles/Royals game could go either way.

I want to load up on hitters on teams that I think will win that day.

Josh Donaldson has been at 6200 lately on FanDuel and that's just too expensive for most DFS players.

If you are into Batter vs. Pitcher stats, here are some hitters that you should target.

Joey Votto is 12 for 27 against Greinke with 3 homers

Albert Pujols is 12 for 42 vs. Wolf with 3 homers

Starlin Castro is 10-24 vs MadBum

Troy Tulowitzki is 11-24  vs. Gallardo with a homer

Marlon Byrd is 14 for 33 vs. Dan Haren with 3 homers

Here's my thoughts on some of the other starters -

Matt Shoemaker at 7600: Shoemaker is not an ace like MadBum or Greinke but he pitched well in his one start in the minors and his confidence should be high coming into this start.

Shoemaker also has a lot to prove after being demoted. I could see him going 7 innings and striking out 7 hitters and getting the win in Detroit. How many will have Shoemaker over Greinke and MadBum? Not many.

Dan Haren is at 6600 and is going up against MadBum. Haren doesn't strike out too many batters and he's been struggling of late. Haren has had good success against the Giants in the past and I am sure he enjoys pitching at AT&T Park.

Yordano Ventura is very reasonable at 8200 and he is at home where he pitches a lot better and going up against the Orioles who can strike out a lot.

Randy Wolf is the cheapest pitcher at 4700 but he will give up some runs and won't get that many strikeouts. You can pick up Bautista and Donaldson and Encarnacion with Wolf as your pitcher but is that really smart?

Hitters: Mike Trout at 5000 and I expect him to be about 45% owned in GPPs. He's going up against an average lefty in Wolf and he could hit a homer or two. Should you fade him? I might in some LUs and hope he doesn't get a homer or two.

Troy Tulowitzki at shortstop might be 50% owned! Buster Posey at catcher could be the same.


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